El Niño Forecast

El Niño in Caracas

During El Niño, Caracas gets on average 36% less rain in December–February than in neutral years (88 mm vs 138 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño918 mm
Annual rain · neutral948 mm
Annual rain · La Niña938 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral23.9 / 23.7 °C

Weather in Caracas: next 7 days

Caracas

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Caracas typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

03774110147 Jan · El Niño: 23 mmJan · Neutral: 36 mmJan · La Niña: 45 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 14 mmFeb · Neutral: 19 mmFeb · La Niña: 43 mmFebMar · El Niño: 17 mmMar · Neutral: 15 mmMar · La Niña: 22 mmMarApr · El Niño: 43 mmApr · Neutral: 46 mmApr · La Niña: 52 mmAprMay · El Niño: 110 mmMay · Neutral: 73 mmMay · La Niña: 66 mmMayJun · El Niño: 99 mmJun · Neutral: 101 mmJun · La Niña: 108 mmJunJul · El Niño: 116 mmJul · Neutral: 126 mmJul · La Niña: 106 mmJulAug · El Niño: 147 mmAug · Neutral: 122 mmAug · La Niña: 142 mmAugSep · El Niño: 113 mmSep · Neutral: 109 mmSep · La Niña: 101 mmSepOct · El Niño: 105 mmOct · Neutral: 114 mmOct · La Niña: 103 mmOctNov · El Niño: 80 mmNov · Neutral: 104 mmNov · La Niña: 81 mmNovDec · El Niño: 51 mmDec · Neutral: 83 mmDec · La Niña: 70 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January23 mm36 mm45 mm-36%22.8 / 22.2 °C
February14 mm19 mm43 mm-23%23.3 / 22.5 °C
March17 mm15 mm22 mm+17%23.8 / 23.2 °C
April43 mm46 mm52 mm-6%24.6 / 24.1 °C
May110 mm73 mm66 mm+50%24.4 / 24.8 °C
June99 mm101 mm108 mm-2%24.2 / 24.3 °C
July116 mm126 mm106 mm-8%23.9 / 23.9 °C
August147 mm122 mm142 mm+21%24.2 / 24.1 °C
September113 mm109 mm101 mm+3%24.4 / 24.3 °C
October105 mm114 mm103 mm-7%24.3 / 24.1 °C
November80 mm104 mm81 mm-23%23.9 / 23.7 °C
December51 mm83 mm70 mm-39%23.2 / 22.9 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Caracas?

During El Niño, Caracas gets on average 36% less rain in December–February than in neutral years (88 mm vs 138 mm).

And La Niña?

In December–February, La Niña years average 158 mm, compared with 138 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 10.48, -66.9, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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