El Niño Forecast

El Niño by city

44 years of NASA data crossed with NOAA's El Niño index: how much it really rains in each city during El Niño, La Niña and neutral years.

Argentina

Buenos Aires+35%Córdoba-27%Rosario+34%Mendoza+31%

Australia

Sydney-9%Brisbane-12%Melbourne-24%

Bolivia

La Paz-43%Santa Cruz de la Sierra+43%

Brazil

São Paulo+53%Rio de Janeiro-19%Manaus-31%Fortaleza-41%Porto Alegre+32%

Chile

Santiago+86%Valparaíso+78%AntofagastaConcepción-40%

Colombia

Bogotá-35%Medellín-41%Cali-39%Barranquilla-70%

Costa Rica

San José-28%

Cuba

Havana+43%

Dominican Republic

Santo Domingo-31%

Ecuador

Guayaquil+250%Quito+47%

El Salvador

San Salvador+22%

Guatemala

Guatemala City+27%

Honduras

Tegucigalpa-33%

India

Mumbai-63%Delhi+34%

Indonesia

Jakarta-62%

Kenya

Nairobi+39%

Mexico

Mexico City+40%Guadalajara+65%Monterrey+100%Mérida-19%Tijuana+51%

Nicaragua

Managua-62%

Panama

Panama City-53%

Paraguay

Asunción+39%

Peru

LimaPiura+118%Trujillo-39%Cusco-25%

Philippines

Manila-42%

Puerto Rico

San Juan-26%

South Africa

Johannesburg-20%

United States

Los Angeles+50%San Francisco-19%Houston+50%Miami+48%Phoenix+63%Seattle-22%New York+40%

Uruguay

Montevideo+16%

Venezuela

Caracas-36%

The percentage is the largest change in 3-month rainfall during El Niño compared with neutral years. Blue: wetter; orange: drier.