El Niño Forecast

🇵🇪 El Niño and La Niña in Peru

El Niño is currently active (Niño 3.4: +3.4 °C), so these effects are the ones to watch now.

Current stateEl Niño Very strong NOAA: El Niño Advisory · issued 8 October 2026
Niño 3.4 this week+3.4 °Cweek of 2026-10-28

How much warmer (+) or colder (−) than normal the sea is this week in the Niño 3.4 zone of the Pacific.

Latest ONI+2.2 °CJAS 2026

Oceanic Niño Index: the 3-month average of that anomaly. It is NOAA's official index: +0.5 °C or more means El Niño; −0.5 °C or less, La Niña.

Sea surface (Niño 3.4)30.2 °Cactual temperature

The real sea surface temperature measured there, not the difference from normal.

Next NOAA update12 November 2026monthly discussion

Date of NOAA's next official El Niño / La Niña report.

Weather forecast, next 7 days

Lima

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Piura

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Trujillo

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Cusco

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño in Peru

Heavy rain and flooding on the northern coast (Tumbes, Piura, Lambayeque), landslides (huaicos), warmer sea that disperses the anchovy and hits fishing, and higher risk of dengue.

La Niña in Peru

Cooler sea and a drier northern coast; often good conditions for the anchovy fishery; drier conditions in parts of the southern highlands.

These are typical tendencies; each event differs in timing and intensity. For local forecasts and warnings, follow SENAMHI and ENFEN.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Peru?

Heavy rain and flooding on the northern coast (Tumbes, Piura, Lambayeque), landslides (huaicos), warmer sea that disperses the anchovy and hits fishing, and higher risk of dengue.

How does La Niña affect Peru?

Cooler sea and a drier northern coast; often good conditions for the anchovy fishery; drier conditions in parts of the southern highlands.

Where can I find official forecasts for Peru?

Follow SENAMHI and ENFEN, the official source for local forecasts and warnings.

Other countries

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