El Niño Forecast

El Niño in Cusco

During El Niño, Cusco gets on average 25% less rain in January–March than in neutral years (276 mm vs 367 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño610 mm
Annual rain · neutral726 mm
Annual rain · La Niña758 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral8.6 / 8.2 °C

Weather in Cusco: next 7 days

Cusco

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Cusco typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

04589134179 Jan · El Niño: 106 mmJan · Neutral: 152 mmJan · La Niña: 150 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 101 mmFeb · Neutral: 110 mmFeb · La Niña: 179 mmFebMar · El Niño: 69 mmMar · Neutral: 105 mmMar · La Niña: 105 mmMarApr · El Niño: 44 mmApr · Neutral: 36 mmApr · La Niña: 58 mmAprMay · El Niño: 10 mmMay · Neutral: 9 mmMay · La Niña: 8 mmMayJun · El Niño: 10 mmJun · Neutral: 13 mmJun · La Niña: 4 mmJunJul · El Niño: 12 mmJul · Neutral: 7 mmJul · La Niña: 2 mmJulAug · El Niño: 9 mmAug · Neutral: 9 mmAug · La Niña: 4 mmAugSep · El Niño: 21 mmSep · Neutral: 18 mmSep · La Niña: 16 mmSepOct · El Niño: 47 mmOct · Neutral: 60 mmOct · La Niña: 54 mmOctNov · El Niño: 78 mmNov · Neutral: 79 mmNov · La Niña: 58 mmNovDec · El Niño: 104 mmDec · Neutral: 130 mmDec · La Niña: 120 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January106 mm152 mm150 mm-30%8.9 / 8.4 °C
February101 mm110 mm179 mm-8%9.0 / 8.4 °C
March69 mm105 mm105 mm-34%9.0 / 8.2 °C
April44 mm36 mm58 mm+22%9.0 / 8.2 °C
May10 mm9 mm8 mm+18%8.3 / 8.1 °C
June10 mm13 mm4 mm-24%7.8 / 7.4 °C
July12 mm7 mm2 mm+75%7.6 / 7.1 °C
August9 mm9 mm4 mm-2%7.9 / 7.8 °C
September21 mm18 mm16 mm+13%8.5 / 8.4 °C
October47 mm60 mm54 mm-22%9.1 / 8.8 °C
November78 mm79 mm58 mm-1%9.2 / 8.9 °C
December104 mm130 mm120 mm-20%9.1 / 8.8 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Cusco?

During El Niño, Cusco gets on average 25% less rain in January–March than in neutral years (276 mm vs 367 mm).

And La Niña?

In January–March, La Niña years average 434 mm, compared with 367 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at -13.53, -71.97, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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