El Niño in Guatemala City
During El Niño, Guatemala City gets on average 27% more rain in February–April than in neutral years (74 mm vs 58 mm).
Weather in Guatemala City: next 7 days
Guatemala City
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Guatemala City typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7 mm | 10 mm | 10 mm | -29% | 19.7 / 19.4 °C |
| February | 7 mm | 7 mm | 7 mm | -11% | 20.9 / 20.9 °C |
| March | 18 mm | 13 mm | 17 mm | +36% | 22.6 / 22.3 °C |
| April | 50 mm | 38 mm | 51 mm | +32% | 23.6 / 23.4 °C |
| May | 144 mm | 146 mm | 98 mm | -1% | 22.8 / 22.9 °C |
| June | 233 mm | 217 mm | 189 mm | +7% | 21.7 / 21.7 °C |
| July | 119 mm | 169 mm | 183 mm | -29% | 21.7 / 21.3 °C |
| August | 148 mm | 203 mm | 237 mm | -27% | 21.7 / 21.2 °C |
| September | 198 mm | 206 mm | 242 mm | -4% | 21.1 / 20.8 °C |
| October | 167 mm | 127 mm | 156 mm | +32% | 20.9 / 20.4 °C |
| November | 60 mm | 52 mm | 44 mm | +14% | 20.0 / 19.7 °C |
| December | 13 mm | 13 mm | 13 mm | +2% | 19.6 / 19.3 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Guatemala City?
During El Niño, Guatemala City gets on average 27% more rain in February–April than in neutral years (74 mm vs 58 mm).
And La Niña?
In February–April, La Niña years average 75 mm, compared with 58 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 14.63, -90.51, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.