El Niño in Guayaquil
During El Niño, Guayaquil gets on average 250% more rain in October–December than in neutral years (144 mm vs 41 mm).
Weather in Guayaquil: next 7 days
Guayaquil
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Guayaquil typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 153 mm | 133 mm | 143 mm | +15% | 27.6 / 26.9 °C |
| February | 269 mm | 220 mm | 244 mm | +23% | 27.1 / 26.5 °C |
| March | 280 mm | 213 mm | 215 mm | +31% | 26.7 / 26.5 °C |
| April | 253 mm | 127 mm | 137 mm | +100% | 26.7 / 26.7 °C |
| May | 113 mm | 45 mm | 37 mm | +152% | 26.8 / 27.2 °C |
| June | 63 mm | 15 mm | 10 mm | +334% | 26.8 / 27.2 °C |
| July | 23 mm | 13 mm | 9 mm | +69% | 27.5 / 27.0 °C |
| August | 8 mm | 3 mm | 5 mm | — | 27.8 / 27.0 °C |
| September | 14 mm | 5 mm | 4 mm | +165% | 27.8 / 27.1 °C |
| October | 12 mm | 6 mm | 7 mm | +103% | 27.6 / 26.9 °C |
| November | 46 mm | 6 mm | 11 mm | +660% | 27.6 / 26.8 °C |
| December | 86 mm | 29 mm | 33 mm | +195% | 27.9 / 27.5 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Guayaquil?
During El Niño, Guayaquil gets on average 250% more rain in October–December than in neutral years (144 mm vs 41 mm).
And La Niña?
In October–December, La Niña years average 51 mm, compared with 41 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at -2.19, -79.89, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.