El Niño in Nairobi
During El Niño, Nairobi gets on average 39% more rain in December–February than in neutral years (170 mm vs 123 mm).
Weather in Nairobi: next 7 days
Nairobi
Loading forecast…
Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Nairobi typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 46 mm | 41 mm | 37 mm | +14% | 20.1 / 20.2 °C |
| February | 33 mm | 23 mm | 32 mm | +43% | 21.4 / 21.3 °C |
| March | 53 mm | 64 mm | 74 mm | -17% | 21.8 / 21.4 °C |
| April | 94 mm | 128 mm | 83 mm | -27% | 20.9 / 20.2 °C |
| May | 72 mm | 86 mm | 47 mm | -16% | 19.3 / 19.1 °C |
| June | 30 mm | 22 mm | 14 mm | +35% | 18.7 / 18.5 °C |
| July | 12 mm | 18 mm | 16 mm | -35% | 18.8 / 18.5 °C |
| August | 15 mm | 21 mm | 27 mm | -29% | 19.3 / 19.0 °C |
| September | 14 mm | 17 mm | 24 mm | -18% | 20.4 / 20.1 °C |
| October | 61 mm | 42 mm | 45 mm | +45% | 20.6 / 20.6 °C |
| November | 103 mm | 84 mm | 75 mm | +24% | 19.9 / 19.9 °C |
| December | 91 mm | 59 mm | 53 mm | +54% | 19.5 / 19.5 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Nairobi?
During El Niño, Nairobi gets on average 39% more rain in December–February than in neutral years (170 mm vs 123 mm).
And La Niña?
In December–February, La Niña years average 122 mm, compared with 123 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at -1.29, 36.82, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.