El Niño Forecast

El Niño in San Juan

During El Niño, San Juan gets on average 26% less rain in October–December than in neutral years (343 mm vs 467 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño1,293 mm
Annual rain · neutral1,420 mm
Annual rain · La Niña1,315 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral26.7 / 26.5 °C

Weather in San Juan: next 7 days

San Juan

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what San Juan typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

052105157210 Jan · El Niño: 62 mmJan · Neutral: 66 mmJan · La Niña: 63 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 63 mmFeb · Neutral: 57 mmFeb · La Niña: 65 mmFebMar · El Niño: 61 mmMar · Neutral: 77 mmMar · La Niña: 63 mmMarApr · El Niño: 105 mmApr · Neutral: 91 mmApr · La Niña: 65 mmAprMay · El Niño: 210 mmMay · Neutral: 141 mmMay · La Niña: 96 mmMayJun · El Niño: 100 mmJun · Neutral: 103 mmJun · La Niña: 101 mmJunJul · El Niño: 94 mmJul · Neutral: 110 mmJul · La Niña: 130 mmJulAug · El Niño: 111 mmAug · Neutral: 133 mmAug · La Niña: 160 mmAugSep · El Niño: 145 mmSep · Neutral: 175 mmSep · La Niña: 196 mmSepOct · El Niño: 141 mmOct · Neutral: 193 mmOct · La Niña: 163 mmOctNov · El Niño: 136 mmNov · Neutral: 173 mmNov · La Niña: 141 mmNovDec · El Niño: 66 mmDec · Neutral: 101 mmDec · La Niña: 71 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January62 mm66 mm63 mm-6%25.2 / 24.8 °C
February63 mm57 mm65 mm+9%25.3 / 24.9 °C
March61 mm77 mm63 mm-20%25.7 / 25.3 °C
April105 mm91 mm65 mm+15%26.4 / 26.1 °C
May210 mm141 mm96 mm+49%26.6 / 26.9 °C
June100 mm103 mm101 mm-3%27.3 / 27.4 °C
July94 mm110 mm130 mm-15%27.7 / 27.6 °C
August111 mm133 mm160 mm-17%28.0 / 27.9 °C
September145 mm175 mm196 mm-17%28.0 / 27.8 °C
October141 mm193 mm163 mm-27%27.5 / 27.3 °C
November136 mm173 mm141 mm-21%26.6 / 26.3 °C
December66 mm101 mm71 mm-34%25.6 / 25.3 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect San Juan?

During El Niño, San Juan gets on average 26% less rain in October–December than in neutral years (343 mm vs 467 mm).

And La Niña?

In October–December, La Niña years average 375 mm, compared with 467 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 18.47, -66.11, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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