El Niño Forecast

El Niño in Tegucigalpa

During El Niño, Tegucigalpa gets on average 33% less rain in January–March than in neutral years (21 mm vs 32 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño759 mm
Annual rain · neutral985 mm
Annual rain · La Niña1,212 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral24.0 / 23.5 °C

Weather in Tegucigalpa: next 7 days

Tegucigalpa

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Tegucigalpa typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

059117176235 Jan · El Niño: 5 mmJan · Neutral: 8 mmJan · La Niña: 19 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 6 mmFeb · Neutral: 8 mmFeb · La Niña: 18 mmFebMar · El Niño: 10 mmMar · Neutral: 15 mmMar · La Niña: 29 mmMarApr · El Niño: 24 mmApr · Neutral: 32 mmApr · La Niña: 40 mmAprMay · El Niño: 97 mmMay · Neutral: 140 mmMay · La Niña: 126 mmMayJun · El Niño: 142 mmJun · Neutral: 184 mmJun · La Niña: 164 mmJunJul · El Niño: 67 mmJul · Neutral: 105 mmJul · La Niña: 139 mmJulAug · El Niño: 77 mmAug · Neutral: 128 mmAug · La Niña: 188 mmAugSep · El Niño: 136 mmSep · Neutral: 172 mmSep · La Niña: 235 mmSepOct · El Niño: 134 mmOct · Neutral: 121 mmOct · La Niña: 166 mmOctNov · El Niño: 37 mmNov · Neutral: 43 mmNov · La Niña: 50 mmNovDec · El Niño: 24 mmDec · Neutral: 29 mmDec · La Niña: 39 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January5 mm8 mm19 mm-35%22.5 / 21.9 °C
February6 mm8 mm18 mm-21%23.8 / 23.4 °C
March10 mm15 mm29 mm-38%25.5 / 24.8 °C
April24 mm32 mm40 mm-25%26.6 / 26.0 °C
May97 mm140 mm126 mm-31%25.7 / 25.2 °C
June142 mm184 mm164 mm-23%24.0 / 23.5 °C
July67 mm105 mm139 mm-36%23.7 / 23.5 °C
August77 mm128 mm188 mm-39%24.5 / 23.8 °C
September136 mm172 mm235 mm-21%23.8 / 23.1 °C
October134 mm121 mm166 mm+11%22.8 / 22.5 °C
November37 mm43 mm50 mm-14%22.5 / 22.3 °C
December24 mm29 mm39 mm-18%22.3 / 21.9 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Tegucigalpa?

During El Niño, Tegucigalpa gets on average 33% less rain in January–March than in neutral years (21 mm vs 32 mm).

And La Niña?

In January–March, La Niña years average 66 mm, compared with 32 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 14.07, -87.19, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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