El Niño in Valparaíso
During El Niño, Valparaíso gets on average 78% more rain in August–October than in neutral years (103 mm vs 58 mm).
Weather in Valparaíso: next 7 days
Valparaíso
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Valparaíso typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2 mm | 2 mm | 2 mm | — | 17.0 / 17.2 °C |
| February | 1 mm | 2 mm | 2 mm | — | 17.3 / 17.1 °C |
| March | 7 mm | 5 mm | 2 mm | — | 16.9 / 16.7 °C |
| April | 17 mm | 10 mm | 13 mm | +67% | 15.4 / 15.2 °C |
| May | 53 mm | 47 mm | 33 mm | +12% | 14.1 / 13.9 °C |
| June | 66 mm | 52 mm | 54 mm | +25% | 13.0 / 12.7 °C |
| July | 72 mm | 43 mm | 42 mm | +66% | 12.4 / 11.8 °C |
| August | 68 mm | 31 mm | 29 mm | +123% | 12.4 / 11.9 °C |
| September | 20 mm | 16 mm | 15 mm | +25% | 12.8 / 12.3 °C |
| October | 15 mm | 11 mm | 6 mm | +32% | 13.6 / 13.0 °C |
| November | 8 mm | 4 mm | 7 mm | — | 14.5 / 14.5 °C |
| December | 4 mm | 4 mm | 3 mm | — | 15.9 / 15.9 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Valparaíso?
During El Niño, Valparaíso gets on average 78% more rain in August–October than in neutral years (103 mm vs 58 mm).
And La Niña?
In August–October, La Niña years average 49 mm, compared with 58 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at -33.05, -71.62, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.