El Niño in Brisbane
During El Niño, Brisbane gets on average 12% less rain in September–November than in neutral years (191 mm vs 216 mm).
Weather in Brisbane: next 7 days
Brisbane
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Brisbane typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 109 mm | 134 mm | 155 mm | -19% | 25.4 / 25.3 °C |
| February | 166 mm | 136 mm | 179 mm | +22% | 25.3 / 25.0 °C |
| March | 138 mm | 146 mm | 136 mm | -6% | 24.1 / 23.7 °C |
| April | 99 mm | 103 mm | 140 mm | -4% | 21.8 / 21.7 °C |
| May | 121 mm | 104 mm | 106 mm | +16% | 19.1 / 19.0 °C |
| June | 70 mm | 75 mm | 92 mm | -6% | 16.4 / 16.5 °C |
| July | 38 mm | 52 mm | 98 mm | -26% | 15.4 / 15.7 °C |
| August | 43 mm | 35 mm | 84 mm | +24% | 17.1 / 16.4 °C |
| September | 41 mm | 30 mm | 58 mm | +36% | 19.0 / 19.0 °C |
| October | 69 mm | 72 mm | 100 mm | -4% | 21.1 / 21.1 °C |
| November | 81 mm | 115 mm | 113 mm | -29% | 23.2 / 22.6 °C |
| December | 127 mm | 104 mm | 159 mm | +23% | 24.4 / 24.6 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Brisbane?
During El Niño, Brisbane gets on average 12% less rain in September–November than in neutral years (191 mm vs 216 mm).
And La Niña?
In September–November, La Niña years average 270 mm, compared with 216 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at -27.47, 153.03, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.