El Niño Forecast

El Niño in Houston

During El Niño, Houston gets on average 50% more rain in October–December than in neutral years (420 mm vs 281 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño1,431 mm
Annual rain · neutral1,230 mm
Annual rain · La Niña1,018 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral19.9 / 20.2 °C

Weather in Houston: next 7 days

Houston

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Houston typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

051102153204 Jan · El Niño: 108 mmJan · Neutral: 106 mmJan · La Niña: 85 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 92 mmFeb · Neutral: 77 mmFeb · La Niña: 62 mmFebMar · El Niño: 91 mmMar · Neutral: 86 mmMar · La Niña: 68 mmMarApr · El Niño: 102 mmApr · Neutral: 90 mmApr · La Niña: 61 mmAprMay · El Niño: 204 mmMay · Neutral: 120 mmMay · La Niña: 104 mmMayJun · El Niño: 154 mmJun · Neutral: 137 mmJun · La Niña: 86 mmJunJul · El Niño: 74 mmJul · Neutral: 104 mmJul · La Niña: 98 mmJulAug · El Niño: 76 mmAug · Neutral: 123 mmAug · La Niña: 88 mmAugSep · El Niño: 110 mmSep · Neutral: 107 mmSep · La Niña: 104 mmSepOct · El Niño: 176 mmOct · Neutral: 102 mmOct · La Niña: 80 mmOctNov · El Niño: 117 mmNov · Neutral: 98 mmNov · La Niña: 98 mmNovDec · El Niño: 126 mmDec · Neutral: 81 mmDec · La Niña: 86 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January108 mm106 mm85 mm+1%9.7 / 10.3 °C
February92 mm77 mm62 mm+20%12.1 / 12.2 °C
March91 mm86 mm68 mm+6%15.7 / 16.2 °C
April102 mm90 mm61 mm+14%19.3 / 20.1 °C
May204 mm120 mm104 mm+70%23.2 / 24.6 °C
June154 mm137 mm86 mm+12%26.8 / 27.8 °C
July74 mm104 mm98 mm-29%28.7 / 28.3 °C
August76 mm123 mm88 mm-38%29.1 / 28.6 °C
September110 mm107 mm104 mm+3%26.3 / 25.9 °C
October176 mm102 mm80 mm+73%21.3 / 21.0 °C
November117 mm98 mm98 mm+20%14.8 / 16.2 °C
December126 mm81 mm86 mm+56%11.5 / 11.4 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Houston?

During El Niño, Houston gets on average 50% more rain in October–December than in neutral years (420 mm vs 281 mm).

And La Niña?

In October–December, La Niña years average 264 mm, compared with 281 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 29.76, -95.37, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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