El Niño in New York
During El Niño, New York gets on average 40% more rain in January–March than in neutral years (370 mm vs 265 mm).
Weather in New York: next 7 days
New York
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what New York typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 113 mm | 88 mm | 97 mm | +29% | 1.4 / 0.4 °C |
| February | 98 mm | 76 mm | 89 mm | +29% | 1.0 / 1.3 °C |
| March | 160 mm | 101 mm | 94 mm | +58% | 4.6 / 4.0 °C |
| April | 121 mm | 109 mm | 87 mm | +11% | 8.7 / 8.9 °C |
| May | 94 mm | 101 mm | 136 mm | -7% | 13.8 / 14.2 °C |
| June | 96 mm | 105 mm | 76 mm | -8% | 19.1 / 19.8 °C |
| July | 111 mm | 126 mm | 72 mm | -12% | 23.3 / 23.4 °C |
| August | 109 mm | 105 mm | 112 mm | +3% | 23.1 / 23.1 °C |
| September | 121 mm | 89 mm | 106 mm | +36% | 20.1 / 20.0 °C |
| October | 96 mm | 104 mm | 114 mm | -8% | 14.3 / 14.5 °C |
| November | 114 mm | 84 mm | 93 mm | +36% | 8.9 / 8.8 °C |
| December | 137 mm | 113 mm | 97 mm | +21% | 5.0 / 3.8 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect New York?
During El Niño, New York gets on average 40% more rain in January–March than in neutral years (370 mm vs 265 mm).
And La Niña?
In January–March, La Niña years average 280 mm, compared with 265 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 40.71, -74.01, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.