El Niño in Manila
During El Niño, Manila gets on average 42% less rain in April–June than in neutral years (285 mm vs 492 mm).
Weather in Manila: next 7 days
Manila
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Manila typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 104 mm | 113 mm | 190 mm | -8% | 23.7 / 23.1 °C |
| February | 101 mm | 98 mm | 145 mm | +3% | 24.1 / 24.0 °C |
| March | 94 mm | 64 mm | 133 mm | +47% | 25.8 / 25.3 °C |
| April | 34 mm | 96 mm | 122 mm | -64% | 28.0 / 27.3 °C |
| May | 94 mm | 152 mm | 167 mm | -38% | 28.5 / 28.0 °C |
| June | 157 mm | 244 mm | 220 mm | -36% | 27.8 / 27.0 °C |
| July | 286 mm | 291 mm | 267 mm | -2% | 26.2 / 26.3 °C |
| August | 225 mm | 259 mm | 269 mm | -13% | 26.2 / 26.1 °C |
| September | 255 mm | 263 mm | 288 mm | -3% | 26.1 / 26.0 °C |
| October | 238 mm | 309 mm | 421 mm | -23% | 25.8 / 25.7 °C |
| November | 222 mm | 274 mm | 370 mm | -19% | 25.2 / 25.0 °C |
| December | 286 mm | 282 mm | 403 mm | +1% | 24.3 / 23.8 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Manila?
During El Niño, Manila gets on average 42% less rain in April–June than in neutral years (285 mm vs 492 mm).
And La Niña?
In April–June, La Niña years average 508 mm, compared with 492 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 14.6, 120.98, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.