El Niño in São Paulo
During El Niño, São Paulo gets on average 53% more rain in May–July than in neutral years (268 mm vs 175 mm).
Weather in São Paulo: next 7 days
São Paulo
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what São Paulo typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 240 mm | 238 mm | 240 mm | +1% | 22.7 / 22.0 °C |
| February | 211 mm | 186 mm | 186 mm | +13% | 22.4 / 22.2 °C |
| March | 169 mm | 165 mm | 169 mm | +3% | 21.4 / 21.4 °C |
| April | 87 mm | 93 mm | 80 mm | -6% | 20.4 / 19.6 °C |
| May | 114 mm | 65 mm | 76 mm | +76% | 17.4 / 17.3 °C |
| June | 101 mm | 55 mm | 40 mm | +82% | 15.9 / 16.0 °C |
| July | 54 mm | 55 mm | 40 mm | -3% | 15.9 / 15.4 °C |
| August | 43 mm | 43 mm | 28 mm | 0% | 17.2 / 16.7 °C |
| September | 95 mm | 88 mm | 167 mm | +8% | 18.7 / 18.4 °C |
| October | 116 mm | 124 mm | 119 mm | -7% | 20.5 / 20.0 °C |
| November | 164 mm | 135 mm | 113 mm | +22% | 21.5 / 20.8 °C |
| December | 197 mm | 168 mm | 189 mm | +17% | 22.1 / 21.7 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect São Paulo?
During El Niño, São Paulo gets on average 53% more rain in May–July than in neutral years (268 mm vs 175 mm).
And La Niña?
In May–July, La Niña years average 156 mm, compared with 175 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at -23.55, -46.63, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.