El Niño in Guadalajara
During El Niño, Guadalajara gets on average 65% more rain in November–January than in neutral years (58 mm vs 35 mm).
Weather in Guadalajara: next 7 days
Guadalajara
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Guadalajara typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 24 mm | 14 mm | 4 mm | +74% | 15.4 / 15.5 °C |
| February | 20 mm | 7 mm | 7 mm | +190% | 16.7 / 17.5 °C |
| March | 10 mm | 4 mm | 0 mm | — | 19.1 / 19.8 °C |
| April | 2 mm | 4 mm | 2 mm | — | 21.6 / 22.5 °C |
| May | 30 mm | 29 mm | 14 mm | +5% | 23.5 / 24.5 °C |
| June | 115 mm | 149 mm | 191 mm | -23% | 23.9 / 23.1 °C |
| July | 202 mm | 197 mm | 230 mm | +2% | 20.9 / 20.5 °C |
| August | 161 mm | 179 mm | 188 mm | -10% | 20.6 / 20.1 °C |
| September | 139 mm | 141 mm | 124 mm | -1% | 20.0 / 19.7 °C |
| October | 63 mm | 52 mm | 32 mm | +20% | 19.2 / 18.8 °C |
| November | 21 mm | 12 mm | 5 mm | +73% | 17.7 / 17.3 °C |
| December | 12 mm | 9 mm | 4 mm | +39% | 15.8 / 16.1 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Guadalajara?
During El Niño, Guadalajara gets on average 65% more rain in November–January than in neutral years (58 mm vs 35 mm).
And La Niña?
In November–January, La Niña years average 12 mm, compared with 35 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 20.67, -103.35, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.