El Niño Forecast

El Niño in Tijuana

During El Niño, Tijuana gets on average 51% more rain in October–December than in neutral years (99 mm vs 66 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño361 mm
Annual rain · neutral281 mm
Annual rain · La Niña207 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral16.8 / 17.0 °C

Weather in Tijuana: next 7 days

Tijuana

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Tijuana typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

021426283 Jan · El Niño: 58 mmJan · Neutral: 63 mmJan · La Niña: 33 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 83 mmFeb · Neutral: 51 mmFeb · La Niña: 37 mmFebMar · El Niño: 66 mmMar · Neutral: 47 mmMar · La Niña: 31 mmMarApr · El Niño: 17 mmApr · Neutral: 19 mmApr · La Niña: 10 mmAprMay · El Niño: 11 mmMay · Neutral: 5 mmMay · La Niña: 3 mmMayJun · El Niño: 2 mmJun · Neutral: 11 mmJun · La Niña: 2 mmJunJul · El Niño: 5 mmJul · Neutral: 4 mmJul · La Niña: 3 mmJulAug · El Niño: 8 mmAug · Neutral: 7 mmAug · La Niña: 4 mmAugSep · El Niño: 12 mmSep · Neutral: 9 mmSep · La Niña: 5 mmSepOct · El Niño: 20 mmOct · Neutral: 7 mmOct · La Niña: 10 mmOctNov · El Niño: 29 mmNov · Neutral: 26 mmNov · La Niña: 26 mmNovDec · El Niño: 50 mmDec · Neutral: 32 mmDec · La Niña: 44 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January58 mm63 mm33 mm-8%12.1 / 12.1 °C
February83 mm51 mm37 mm+62%12.9 / 12.6 °C
March66 mm47 mm31 mm+42%13.5 / 13.8 °C
April17 mm19 mm10 mm-8%15.6 / 14.8 °C
May11 mm5 mm3 mm—17.0 / 16.5 °C
June2 mm11 mm2 mm-79%18.5 / 19.5 °C
July5 mm4 mm3 mm—21.6 / 22.8 °C
August8 mm7 mm4 mm+21%22.8 / 23.6 °C
September12 mm9 mm5 mm+28%22.0 / 22.5 °C
October20 mm7 mm10 mm+176%18.9 / 19.2 °C
November29 mm26 mm26 mm+11%15.2 / 15.1 °C
December50 mm32 mm44 mm+55%12.0 / 12.1 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Tijuana?

During El Niño, Tijuana gets on average 51% more rain in October–December than in neutral years (99 mm vs 66 mm).

And La Niña?

In October–December, La Niña years average 80 mm, compared with 66 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 32.51, -117.04, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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