El Niño Forecast

El Niño in Monterrey

During El Niño, Monterrey gets on average 100% more rain in December–February than in neutral years (68 mm vs 34 mm).

Annual rain · El Niño518 mm
Annual rain · neutral492 mm
Annual rain · La Niña433 mm
Mean temp. El Niño / neutral17.1 / 17.4 °C

Weather in Monterrey: next 7 days

Monterrey

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Monterrey typically sees in this phase.

Monthly rainfall by phase

El NiñoNeutralLa Niña

0275582110 Jan · El Niño: 26 mmJan · Neutral: 13 mmJan · La Niña: 14 mmJanFeb · El Niño: 22 mmFeb · Neutral: 9 mmFeb · La Niña: 8 mmFebMar · El Niño: 27 mmMar · Neutral: 17 mmMar · La Niña: 6 mmMarApr · El Niño: 22 mmApr · Neutral: 29 mmApr · La Niña: 23 mmAprMay · El Niño: 66 mmMay · Neutral: 45 mmMay · La Niña: 34 mmMayJun · El Niño: 66 mmJun · Neutral: 58 mmJun · La Niña: 60 mmJunJul · El Niño: 44 mmJul · Neutral: 69 mmJul · La Niña: 91 mmJulAug · El Niño: 40 mmAug · Neutral: 63 mmAug · La Niña: 64 mmAugSep · El Niño: 110 mmSep · Neutral: 107 mmSep · La Niña: 87 mmSepOct · El Niño: 47 mmOct · Neutral: 48 mmOct · La Niña: 29 mmOctNov · El Niño: 29 mmNov · Neutral: 22 mmNov · La Niña: 9 mmNovDec · El Niño: 21 mmDec · Neutral: 12 mmDec · La Niña: 8 mmDec mm

Month by month

MonthEl NiñoNeutralLa NiñaChange El NiñoTemp. El Niño / neutral
January26 mm13 mm14 mm+98%10.1 / 10.7 °C
February22 mm9 mm8 mm+145%12.2 / 12.9 °C
March27 mm17 mm6 mm+54%14.9 / 15.8 °C
April22 mm29 mm23 mm-23%18.4 / 19.4 °C
May66 mm45 mm34 mm+46%20.6 / 22.0 °C
June66 mm58 mm60 mm+15%22.4 / 22.6 °C
July44 mm69 mm91 mm-36%22.2 / 21.7 °C
August40 mm63 mm64 mm-37%22.2 / 21.5 °C
September110 mm107 mm87 mm+2%19.8 / 19.4 °C
October47 mm48 mm29 mm-2%17.4 / 16.9 °C
November29 mm22 mm9 mm+34%13.6 / 14.0 °C
December21 mm12 mm8 mm+69%10.9 / 11.6 °C

NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Monterrey?

During El Niño, Monterrey gets on average 100% more rain in December–February than in neutral years (68 mm vs 34 mm).

And La Niña?

In December–February, La Niña years average 31 mm, compared with 34 mm in neutral years.

Where does this data come from?

Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 25.69, -100.32, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.

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