El Niño in Mexico City
During El Niño, Mexico City gets on average 40% more rain in January–March than in neutral years (45 mm vs 32 mm).
Weather in Mexico City: next 7 days
Mexico City
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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.
El Niño is active right now: the El Niño columns show what Mexico City typically sees in this phase.
Monthly rainfall by phase
El NiñoNeutralLa Niña
Month by month
| Month | El Niño | Neutral | La Niña | Change El Niño | Temp. El Niño / neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 15 mm | 10 mm | 5 mm | +41% | 10.3 / 10.2 °C |
| February | 16 mm | 8 mm | 8 mm | +94% | 11.6 / 12.1 °C |
| March | 15 mm | 14 mm | 8 mm | +7% | 13.8 / 14.0 °C |
| April | 15 mm | 26 mm | 28 mm | -42% | 15.9 / 16.1 °C |
| May | 66 mm | 57 mm | 48 mm | +17% | 16.5 / 17.2 °C |
| June | 114 mm | 149 mm | 146 mm | -23% | 16.4 / 16.0 °C |
| July | 139 mm | 155 mm | 158 mm | -10% | 15.0 / 14.7 °C |
| August | 115 mm | 155 mm | 174 mm | -26% | 14.8 / 14.4 °C |
| September | 137 mm | 147 mm | 139 mm | -7% | 14.3 / 13.9 °C |
| October | 76 mm | 65 mm | 53 mm | +18% | 13.4 / 12.7 °C |
| November | 24 mm | 21 mm | 11 mm | +10% | 12.0 / 11.4 °C |
| December | 8 mm | 8 mm | 5 mm | +1% | 10.8 / 10.6 °C |
NASA POWER (MERRA-2), 1981–2025, classified by NOAA ONI. Averages, not a forecast.
Frequently asked questions
How does El Niño affect Mexico City?
During El Niño, Mexico City gets on average 40% more rain in January–March than in neutral years (45 mm vs 32 mm).
And La Niña?
In January–March, La Niña years average 21 mm, compared with 32 mm in neutral years.
Where does this data come from?
Monthly rainfall and temperature from NASA POWER (MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1981–2025) at 19.43, -99.13, classified by NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index for each month. These are averages; each event is different.