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El Niño 2002-2003

El Niño 2002-2003 lasted about 10 months, from Jun–Aug 2002 to Jan–Mar 2003. The Oceanic Niño Index peaked at +1.2 °C in OND 2002, a moderate El Niño, ranked #13 of 23 since 1950.

StartJJA 2002Jun–Aug
EndJFM 2003Jan–Mar
Duration10 months8 seasons
Peak ONI+1.2 °COND 2002
Average ONI+0.84 °Cduring the episode
StrengthModerate#13 / 23

ONI before, during and after El Niño 2002-2003

-2-1.5-1-0.50+0.5+1+1.5+2 +0.14°C DJF 02MAM 02JJA 02SON 02DJF 03MAM 03JJA 03JAS 03

Season by season

SeasonYearONINiño 3.4 temp.
JJA Jun–Aug2002+0.6 °C27.85 °C
JAS Jul–Sep2002+0.6 °C27.62 °C
ASO Aug–Oct2002+0.8 °C27.60 °C
SON Sep–Nov2002+1.0 °C27.77 °C
OND Oct–Dec2002+1.2 °C27.92 °C
NDJ Nov–Jan2002+1.1 °C27.72 °C
DJF Dec–Feb2003+0.9 °C27.51 °C
JFM Jan–Mar2003+0.6 °C27.39 °C

Compare with other episodes

← El Niño 1997-1998El Niño 2004-2005 →La Niña 2000-2001El Niño 2026 (current)

ENSO statisticsFull ONI tableAll episodesImpacts by country

Frequently asked questions

When did El Niño 2002-2003 start and end?

It started in JJA 2002 and ended in JFM 2003, about 10 months.

How strong was El Niño 2002-2003?

Its peak ONI was +1.2 °C (OND 2002), classified as moderate. It ranks #13 among 23 El Niño episodes since 1950.

How does it compare with the current El Niño?

The current event (El Niño 2026) has reached +2.5 °C so far, above the +1.2 °C peak of El Niño 2002-2003.

Episodes are computed from NOAA's Oceanic Niño Index (ERSSTv5) with the standard rule: five or more consecutive overlapping seasons at or beyond ±0.5 °C. Free to cite with a link to elninoforecast.com.