El Niño Forecast

🇪🇨 El Niño and La Niña in Ecuador

El Niño is currently active (Niño 3.4: +3.4 °C), so these effects are the ones to watch now.

Current stateEl Niño Very strong NOAA: El Niño Advisory · issued 8 October 2026
Niño 3.4 this week+3.4 °Cweek of 2026-10-28

How much warmer (+) or colder (−) than normal the sea is this week in the Niño 3.4 zone of the Pacific.

Latest ONI+2.2 °CJAS 2026

Oceanic Niño Index: the 3-month average of that anomaly. It is NOAA's official index: +0.5 °C or more means El Niño; −0.5 °C or less, La Niña.

Sea surface (Niño 3.4)30.2 °Cactual temperature

The real sea surface temperature measured there, not the difference from normal.

Next NOAA update12 November 2026monthly discussion

Date of NOAA's next official El Niño / La Niña report.

Weather forecast, next 7 days

Guayaquil

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Quito

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Weather forecast: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), updated every hour. For official warnings, follow your national weather service.

El Niño in Ecuador

More rain and flooding on the coast (Guayas, Manabí, El Oro, Esmeraldas), landslides and damage to crops such as banana and rice.

La Niña in Ecuador

Drier coast and cooler sea.

These are typical tendencies; each event differs in timing and intensity. For local forecasts and warnings, follow INAMHI.

Frequently asked questions

How does El Niño affect Ecuador?

More rain and flooding on the coast (Guayas, Manabí, El Oro, Esmeraldas), landslides and damage to crops such as banana and rice.

How does La Niña affect Ecuador?

Drier coast and cooler sea.

Where can I find official forecasts for Ecuador?

Follow INAMHI, the official source for local forecasts and warnings.

Other countries

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